Now a 70% likelihood of a spot ETF approval this year. This is huge. #likelihood #spot #ETF #approval #year #huge


Now a 70% probability of a spot ETF approval this year. This is large.

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Comments (40)

  • dadlif3 Reply

    The amount of hopium in this thread is overwhelming.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • Suspended_9996 Reply

    gbtc-12.90 usd

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • bullfy Reply

    It won’t happen until Q1-Q2 2024/that’s how the 2024/2025 bull market will melt faces!

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • acegarrettjuan Reply

    Where does that 70% figure come from? They just pull that out their ass?

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • Secret_Operative Reply

    A spot ETF has always been rejected by the SEC because the spot exchanges don’t collude on policing customers. This hasn’t changed and until it does, there won’t be a spot ETF. The futures stuff is surprising… almost like someone just looked the other way since it’s only one market – CME. There won’t be a spot ETF even if this court case goes Grayscale’s way.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • HurricaneHarvey7 Reply

    I expect a large pump for GBTC and BTC soon

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • UncontrolledLife Reply

    Did nobody even read what’s written here?

    “Language in the court ruling will be key, however, as to whether the court gives the SEC an opening to reject the application on different grounds or locks them into accepting it. We lean toward the former for now.”

    He didn’t once mention that there is a 70% chance of a spot ETF approval this year and actually says he believes the court will allow the SEC to reject the spot ETF on different grounds even after a ruling in Grayscale’s favor.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • Analog_AI Reply

    Aren’t ETFs just paper bitcoins?

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • WaycoKid1129 Reply

    My 401k is in that fund! Yippie

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • migs2k3 Reply

    Why do these rulings take so long?

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • dies_und_dass Reply

    How did you get the likelihood to be 70%? Out of where did you pull that number? Nevermind, i think i know the answer.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • lightbulb-7 Reply

    We need adoption of the best monetary system there is. We don’t need a financial instrument of a currency.

    I don’t even know how investors are supposed not to pay a premium over the underlying bitcoin, if at the end of the day Greyscale needs to somehow earn their fee, while tracking 100% bitcoins price.

    An etf is a distraction, so that people don’t hold their own keys, and don’t broadcast their transactions with their own node.

    Pure fiat mentality this “number go up” shit.

    Edit: rephrased for clarity

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • giszmo Reply

    “70% … this year” 🤣🤣🤣

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • New_Ranger3105 Reply

    I just hope the SEC loses on everything

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • Gelato_Mulatto Reply

    No where in this statement does it say there’s a 70% chance of a spot ETF approval this year. It says there’s a 70% chance of Grayscale winning the lawsuit. The court can still give the SEC a new out to strike down further applications. Regardless, it’s favorable news.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • Verallendingen Reply

    grayscale scammers.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • lib3rty47 Reply

    I don’t get what the fuss is about? This will just end up being ‘paper bitcoin’. Just like how nobody actually holds gold, just fractions of it.

    Are we really going to trust these institutions to actually audit themselves to hold bitcoin. 100% they’ll be shorthing these etfs once the cards all collapse.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • Dlennertz Reply

    This is huge

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • AuthorizedFutility45 Reply

    That’s fuckin huge

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • CypherMcAfee Reply

    who want an etf when you can buy the REAL Bitcoin and self custody.

    Etfs are crap.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • cubeeless Reply

    10k candle incoming

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • r00t1 Reply

    I think the outcome of these binary possibilities is 50/50, but i’m not trying to sell you anything.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • monkeyhold99 Reply

    Lol I did NOT get 70% from the courts words. Massive hopium

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • BigPandaCloud Reply

    Can you make an ETF of a spot ETF? I know you can make an ETF of ETF.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • mpanning Reply

    let’s go!! moon in my wallet and moon on the exchanges. hell yeah

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • bitsteiner Reply

    Since the SEC allows TV-clown ETFs.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • bitsteiner Reply

    GBTC +9.60% today. Still 42% cheaper than buying BTC.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • drew2f Reply

    Match this going live with the next round of QE OMG. But seriously, don’t do it.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • BigPlayCrypto Reply

    I will patiently wait……………

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • Secret-Jello-5612 Reply

    I agree. All the reads hint at the trend

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • Johndrc Reply

    2019 vibes

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • keithschmidt Reply

    Is this just for greyscale bitcoin? Or does this suit agains the sec apply for all greyscale products including greyscale ethe?

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • ICURaBigdeal Reply

    The good news I needed today

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • DesignerAccount Reply

    Is there a transcript of the Grayscale argument? Would be interesting to read that.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • frickinlayzer Reply

    Damn this would be a huge catalyst if it happens.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • StoneHammers Reply

    Bitcoin ETFs are just more paper IOUs. Does this really help?

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • A_Stones_throw Reply

    Can I be the dumbass here and ask given these odds.of it happening what that could mean, both for GBTC and Bitcoin itself?

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • The_Mootz_Pallucci Reply

    I’m skeptical of the 70% likelihood of something that has never happened, and has no close comparables

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • JosephBlowFish Reply

    No way Greyscale will win.

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am
  • raxnahali Reply

    I don’t think an ETF is a good thing

    March 8, 2023 at 3:58 am

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